The prisoner swap deal which saw Gilad Shalit released, played right
into the hands of Hamas. The prisoners who were released, as well as
those set for release in the second stage of the deal, are names given
by Hamas. At least for now, Hamas has gained public relations points in
the Palestinian world. The organisation has shown itself to be able to
stand up to Israel, and to extract value for the Palestinian street
despite Israel’s statements that this would never happen. At the same
time, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas’s Fatah party has
achieved a resounding failure. Abbas returned from his visit to the
United Nations empty-handed following his application to the UN to admit
Palestine as a full member. This situation has brought some Israelis
to call for a “gesture” to Fatah, to try to dilute the way in which
Hamas has been strengthened by these events.
For some time now, Israel has been playing a game of trying to weaken
Hamas by strengthening Fatah. Throughout the time that Mahmoud Abbas
has been president, and even dating back to the days when Yasser Arafat
held the position, Israel has been taking steps to promote Fatah’s
interests in order to help its standing amongst Palestinians whose
loyalties are split between Fatah and Hamas. The reason for this is
that Fatah has demonstrated itself to be more willing to enter into a
dialogue with Israel, interpreted by Israel to mean it represents a
possibility that it may reach a negotiated peace agreement. Hamas, on
the other hand, has remained steadfast in its objectives of trying to
destroy Israel, and not agreeing to negotiate. As ironic as it may
seem, Fatah is simply the better of the two evils, and hence Israel’s
attempts to promote its cause.
Despite the fact that it has tried to present itself as a genuine
political party, Fatah has never really given up on its terror
activities, even while continuing to sit at the negotiating table. This
was particularly true in the days of Yasser Arafat, who lied
unashamedly about giving up on violence with Israel while continuing to
orchestrate terror activities in the background. Abbas has seemed more
serious about foregoing the terror route, but has still not completely
given up on this or eradicated it from his people and the territory
under his control. The fact that Hamas has never agreed to forego
violence against Israel has presented greater appeal to the
Palestinians. Hamas’s strategy is to escalate violence against Israel
and never agree to recognise or negotiate with the government of the
Jewish state, until it achieves the destruction of the State of Israel.
Israel’s response to this situation has been to continue trying to
negotiate with Fatah in order to try to extract greater security for
Israelis, while responding to Hamas’s violence and terror using military
solutions. It is in Israel’s interest that the Palestinian street will
embrace the route of negotiations and support Fatah, while rejecting
the route of violence pursued by Hamas. It is for this reason that
Israel has been trying to prop up support for Fatah over the years by
allowing it to show fruits for its strategy of negotiating with Israel.
Negotiations are long-winded affairs (especially in the Middle East),
and show few results along the way. This has proved to be tiresome for
the Palestinians, who are eager to see instant results or some evidence
of the fact that their chosen route has short-term advantages. The
Hamas-led campaign of violence has succeeded in bringing this to the
people in a much more blatant way. Palestinians have rejoiced to see
rockets destroying Israeli homes and threatening Israeli lives. The
perceived success of standing up to the might of the IDF has been a
rallying force for Palestinians. The fact that Fatah succeeded in
opening a road or removing an Israeli checkpoint after a lengthy
negotiation, seems somehow less exciting and not the same level of
achievement. To counter this perception, Israel has acted to release
Fatah prisoners remain incarcerated in Israeli jails to so that it can
be associated with benefits of negotiations.
With Hamas’s standing on the up and up after its success in
securing the release of hundreds of its prisoners as part of the
exchange for Gilad Shalit, there are those who feel that these events
could serve to alienate Fatah and reduce its standing amongst
Palestinians. Some Israeli politicians have called for a release of
Fatah prisoners as a gesture to Mahmoud Abbas to try to redress the
situation. Abbas himself, desperate for any success he can lay his
hands on, has mentioned the fact that former prime minister Ehud Olmert
offered a release of Fatah prisoners in the event that Gilad Shalit was
released. Olmert has confirmed this verbal undertaking, although I
suspect that the promise was made on the basis of the expectation that
Abbas would actually do something to help to secure Gilad’s release.
In truth, I do not understand why Israel would choose to release
Fatah prisoners at this stage. At the time that the final details for
Gilad’s release were being negotiated, Abbas was at the UN in New York
seeking full membership for the Palestinians. This action by Abbas
served to undermine the entire notion of a negotiated settlement.
Abbas’s tactic is to get a seat in the UN, and then approach the UN to
grant him and his people an independent homeland. If he succeeds, he
will achieve this without having to make any concessions that are
inherent in a negotiated deal with Israel. This is surely a massive
snub to Israel’s efforts to help Fatah over the years.
Now that Gilad has been released and, along with him, hundreds of
Hamas prisoners, Abbas is feeling left out and alienated. The problem
is that he is responsible, at least in part, for his own situation. His
continuing refusal to recognise Israel as a Jewish state and to make
the required concessions at the negotiating table, and his acts to try
to unilaterally declare an independent state have not helped his cause.
They have damaged his standing on the Palestinian street, and with his
Israeli counterparts. There should be no reason in the world for Israel
to reward him with a release of prisoners.
Israelis should never be duped into believing that Fatah is a true
ally of Israel or a friend the Jewish people. It just so happens that
we have a common enemy, Hamas, which causes us to come together in
opposition to the threat that Hamas presents. As was evidenced by his
recent actions at the UN, Abbas will use any opportunity to go behind
Israel’s back and pursue his own agenda at Israel’s expense. The
continued refusal by Fatah to remove the clause in their constitution
calling for the destruction of the State of Israel is evidence of the
fact that Fatah’s true intentions may be concealed to the world, and
that it may be playing a double-faced game with Israel. While
continuing to pursue a path that will ultimately bring peace and
security to her citizens, Israel is forced to respond with caution and
suspicion to everything that Abbas does.
The time has come for Israel to treat Fatah with a great deal more
suspicion and contempt. While it is acknowledged that having a Fatah
government in the West Bank is preferable to one controlled by Hamas,
this is still not a bed of roses for Israel. Gestures by Israel to
Fatah should be matched by gestures on Fatah’s part to Israel. This is
the only way to ensure that Fatah will value Israeli gestures. The time
for freebies should be over.
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