Events of last week contain a clear reminder that Israelis need to be
vigilant wherever they are around the world. Three attacks in three
different countries within two days have made clear that those who wish
to attack Israel will stop at nothing in their attempts to do so. In
these particular attacks, poor execution and good fortune meant that
there was no loss of life and that injuries were kept to a minimum.
Israel knows only too well that this is not always the case, and that
the next attacks may be much more serious.
An attempted attack in the Georgian capital, Tbilisi, on Sunday was
the first of last week’s critical events. A bomb was attached to the
car of a Georgian employee of the Israeli embassy, and was discovered by
coincidence when the employee heard a strange noise on his car after
dropping his children at kindergarten. After he stopped the car to
investigate the unusual sound, the bomb was noticed attached to the
car. The next incident in New Delhi on the same day was more serious
because it caused moderate injuries to the wife of an Israeli official
at the embassy. In this case, a “drive-by” bomber on a motorcycle
attached the device to the car as the woman and her Indian driver were
driving to collect children from school. The woman and the driver were
both injured in the attack, as were two passers-by who were caught in
the attack. In the third incident, which took place in the Thai capital
Bangkok, a comedy of errors saw two Iranians detained in the city after
detonating explosives while still in their possession. An Iranian man
blew off both his legs when a device he was carrying exploded after he
was confronted by a police office. The roof of a rented house was blown
off in Bangkok when the explosives were detonated by accident. Thai
police have confirmed that the intended targets of the attack were
Israeli diplomatic personnel, and that the explosives in Bangkok were
identical to those found in Tbilisi and New Delhi.
These attacks bring home a number of important lessons for Israelis
and the Israeli government, as well as for bystanders around the world.
It is clear that Iran is intent upon carrying out its threats to try to
destroy Israel or, at least, to try to inflict major damage on her.
Iranian President Ahmadinejad is being allowed to get away with his
incitement, including statements calling for the destruction of Israel
in any and every public forum, including the hallowed halls of the
United Nations. On Thursday last week, only four days after the
attempts by Iranians to attack Israeli diplomatic staff in foreign
countries, Ahmadinejad had the audacity to turn up at an anti-terrorism
conference in Pakistan. The international community has no idea how to
stand up to the behaviour of this thug, and his actions are being
tolerated while leaders continue to prevaricate in the halls of power
around the world. Each time he is allowed to get away with his actions,
he is emboldened for the next set of actions in the knowledge that the
world does not have the backbone to stand up to anything that he does.
There were a few positive hidden positive messages for Israel in the
actions of last week. Until now, Ahmadinejad has not found a way to
attack Israel directly. He may have tried, although we will never know
if there have been attempts that have failed. The attacks last week
show that he is directing his efforts against Israeli targets abroad,
where the security may be of a lower or inferior level. He has been
unable to break through the security cordon around Israel itself. The
attacks last week showed an element of desperation, demonstrated by the
lack of professionalism in all of the attacks. The fact that not one of
the three attacks achieved its true objective, and that Iranians were
blowing themselves up in Bangkok, demonstrate that plans are being
implemented before they are fully ready, and in a very haphazard
fashion. Frustration and pressure were evident in the way in which the
attacks were executed.
This is not an indication for Israel to sit back and relax. On the
contrary, the plans to stop the development of the Iranian nuclear
missile need to be executed as soon as possible. Despite the fact that
the sanctions being imposed on Iran are taking their economic toll,
indications are clear that these actions will not stop Iran from
constructing its nuclear bomb. An economically weak Iran with a nuclear
missile is no better than an economically strong Iran with the same
missile. The world is looking to Israel, in many cases begrudgingly and
critically, to take care of this problem. No other nation seems to
have the willingness and the ability to deal with this issue. It was
Israel that saved the world from an Iraqi nuclear weapon (despite
enduring heavy criticism for its actions against the Iraqi nuclear
reactor) and a Syrian nuclear weapon. It seems quite likely that it
will be Israel that will take action against the Iranian threat as well.
Organisations like Hezbollah, Hamas and countries like Iran will
continue to pose a threat to Israelis, and Israeli diplomatic missions
abroad. This simply causes Israel to redouble her efforts to protect
these missions to ensure that Israeli diplomats can continue to take up
their rightful places in the diplomatic community. Despite having
suffered attacks on diplomatic missions in London, Buenos Aires and
other locations, some of which took precious lives, Israel continues to
insist on being represented as a country among the nations.
I continue to believe that 2012 will be the year in which the Iranian
nuclear issue is resolved, one way or the other. If Iran succeeds in
getting to the end of the year with its full nuclear capabilities
intact, I will concede that Iran has won this battle. I expect that
things will not be quite so easy, and that Israel will be doing all that
she can to ensure that this does not happen. The world is looking on
expecting to see Israeli warplanes bombing Bushehr, Natanz and other
Iranian nuclear facilities from the air. I find this scenario very
unlikely as it presents too much of a threat to regional stability.
Instead, I believe that the Israelis are hatching an unconventional plan
that the Iranians may not even recognise until it is too late.
Somehow, I have to believe that this matter will be taken care of
during the course of this year in order to feel that Israel’s security
continues to be assured. The Israeli government and army understand
this too. Instead of waiting to hear the drones of fighter-plane
engines in carrying out this task, I am expecting the completely
unexpected.
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